Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Goshen

NobleUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 9 August 2026 at 23:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 11th strongest of the 52 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 9 at 6:10PM EDT until August 9 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana

An estimated 345,657 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 2 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 86 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence86%
Coordinates41.3486, -85.6452
Nearest CityGoshen (30 km)
Population Exposed345.7K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-08-09T22:10:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d7df658966c968c4a17bb6303d868e16

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescDe Kalb, IN; Noble, IN; Elkhart, IN; Kosciusko, IN; Lagrange, IN; Noble, IN; Kosciusko, IN; Noble, IN; Whitley, IN
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued August 9 at 6:10PM EDT until August 9 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana
Expires2026-08-09T19:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Northern Indiana
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d7df658966c968c4a17bb6303d868e16b892f7dd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fec1055b0fa64516b764257721dda63c6911a16c.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.80679fa18d20a4174a2ab8abb92e2ce42ca2501a.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude1
Iem UnitInch
Iem CityWalkerton
Iem CountySt. Joseph
Iem StateIN
Iem WfoIWX
Iem RemarkTime estimated by radar.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_H_41.460_-86.480_1786310160000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1786310160000,"latitude":41.46,"longitude":-86.48}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Goshen (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.